• Draw the demand curves and estimate the season length N; • Computer the moving average MA(N); • Centralize the moving averages; • Get the centralized MA values back on period; • Calculate seasonal factors, and make sure of  ct=N. • Divide each observation by the appropriate seasonal factor to obtain the deseasonalized demand • Forecast is made based on deseasonalized demand. • Final forecast is obtained by multiplying the forecast (with no seasonality) with seasonal factors
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上海交通大学:《生产计划与控制 Production Planning and Control》课程教学资源(课件讲稿)chap02 Forecasting 6. Methods for Forecasting Stationary Series 7. Trend-Based Methods 8. Methods for Seasonal Series
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上海交通大学:《生产计划与控制 Production Planning and Control》课程教学资源(课件讲稿)chap02 Forecasting 3. Classification of Forecasts 4. Evaluating Forecast 5. Notation Conventions 6. Methods for Forecasting Stationary Series
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上海交通大学:《生产计划与控制 Production Planning and Control》课程教学资源(课件讲稿)chap02 Forecasting 1. Introduction 2. The Time Horizon in Forecasting 3. Classification of Forecasts
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上海交通大学:《生产计划与控制 Production Planning and Control》课程教学资源(课件讲稿)chap01 Production System and Operations Strategy 6. Matching Process and Product Life Cycles 7. Capacity Growth Planning
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上海交通大学:《生产计划与控制 Production Planning and Control》课程教学资源(课件讲稿)chap01 Production System and Operations Strategy 5. The Classical View of Operations Strategy
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上海交通大学:《生产计划与控制 Production Planning and Control》课程教学资源(课件讲稿)chap01 Production System and Operations Strategy 3. Organization of Production System 4. Operations Management &Operations Strategy
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上海交通大学:《生产计划与控制 Production Planning and Control》课程教学资源(课件讲稿)chap01 Production System and Operations Strategy 1. Basic Conception of Production & Operations Management 2. Production System and its Classification
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外包 电子化采购 外包的收益和风险 采购/制造决策框架 电子采购 电子采购的框架 自由市场在线公司案例研究
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战略伙伴关系概述 第三方物流 零售商-供应商伙伴关系 分销商一体化
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